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Finance Mathematical Models - Analysis of Financial Time Series - R S Tsay (John Wiley & Sons) - 2005

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by firstlove 2008. 6. 25. 08:03

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Finance Mathematical Models - Analysis of Financial Time Series - R S Tsay (John Wiley & Sons) - 2005




Contents

Preface

xvii

Preface to First Edition

xix

1. Financial Time Series and Their Characteristics

1

1.1 Asset Returns,

2

1.2 Distributional Properties of Returns,

7

1.2.1 Review of Statistical Distributions and Their Moments,

7

1.2.2 Distributions of Returns,

13

1.2.3 Multivariate Returns,

16

1.2.4 Likelihood Function of Returns,

17

1.2.5 Empirical Properties of Returns,

17

1.3 Processes Considered,

20

Exercises,

22

References,

23

2. Linear Time Series Analysis and Its Applications

24

2.1 Stationarity,

25

2.2 Correlation and Autocorrelation Function,

25

2.3 White Noise and Linear Time Series,

31

2.4 Simple Autoregressive Models,

32

2.4.1 Properties of AR Models,

33

2.4.2 Identifying AR Models in Practice,

40

2.4.3 Goodness of Fit,

46

2.4.4 Forecasting,

47